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Turkey vs Italy: Match Analysis and Betting Tip

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Ace Football previews the Group A opener between Turkey and Italy in Euro 2020 and offers betting tips, odds, and stats.

Turkey take on Italy at Stadio Olimpico, Rome, where an exciting match is shaping up. It is one of 12 matches in round 1 of the group stages at the Euro 2020 and takes place this coming Friday. While the Crescent-Stars enter the Euro 2020 as number 29 in the FIFA world ranking, there is a pretty big gap to their opponent. Italy go into the competition ranked number 7.

Whilst outsiders to top their group, Turkey still seem to have a decent opportunity to qualify for the knockout stages. They won enough matches in qualifying to top some groups but had to settle for 2nd place. Senol Gunes’ side will most likely exit the tournament before the final match, but odds suggest a good run is not beyond them.

Before the first match at the tournament, Italy are heavy favorites with the bookmakers to top their group. The Azzurri had few problems taking a highly anticipated 1st place in the group stages and are expected to go far in the tournament.

Turkey vs Italy stats and analysis

When it comes to goal-scoring, Turkey are not the most prolific side. The Crescent-Stars scored a sustainable 18 times in their previous 10 internationals, making it 1.8 goals per game. They have been great in defence conceding a lowly 3 goals at their own end. That is an average of 0.3 a game, achieving a clean sheet in 8 of these matches.

Italy are brimming with confidence arriving at the Euro 2020 with extraordinarily good stats from their last 10 internationals. Roberto Mancini’s men managed a massive 3.7 goals a game, scoring 37 times while allowing a scarcely noticeable 4 goals against them. That is an impressively low 0.4 per game, with a clean sheet in 6 of the matches.

Coming away from their Euro 2020 opener with anything but a defeat for Turkey would be a huge surprise. It looks like a question of simply trying to minimize the defeat everyone expects them to suffer.

Missing out on a win in the first outing at the Euro 2020 will be a massive blow for Italy who are looking to have a crack at the title.

Stats and facts for Turkey and Italy.

Fun stats Turkey

  • Turkey unbeaten the last 6 matches in a row;
  • Turkey unbeaten the last 5 matches in a row at home;
  • Turkey has won in the last 4 of 5 matches at home;
  • Total goals was UNDER 3.5 in Turkey’s last 6 of 8 matches.

Fun stats Italy

  • Italy has won the last 10 matches in a row;
  • Italy has won the last 5 matches in a row when playing away;
  • Italy has won in the last 11 of 12 matches;
  • Italy has won in the last 7 of 8 matches when playing away.

Form Turkey vs Italy

Tough-to-beat Turkey.

Turkey look to build on their current momentum with another positive result. In their previous 3 internationals, Senol Gunes’ side managed to win 2-1 against Azerbaijan after which they witnessed a 0-0 draw against Guinea. The most recent international for Turkey’s finest served up a 2-0 win against Moldova.

Italy continue to sparkle.

Italy keep brushing aside all resistance claiming yet another win to their collection last time out. In their last 3 matches, the Azzurri managed to get a rather comfortable 2-0 away win to Litauen, followed by a 7-0 win against San Marino. Their most recent match brought a 4-0 win against the Czech Republic.

Turkey v Italy Fixture History

When they last played an international match against each other – on 15 November 2006 – they both came away with a point in a 1-1 draw.

Turkey have won 0%, while Italy have won 33.33% of their last 3 encounters in the European Championship resulting in a total of 0-2-1.

Top goalscorer

Turkey will hoping Burak Yilmaz can find the back of the net once again. He is on 5 goals in their last 6 internationals and his team need him to shine. Ciro Immobile arrives at the Euro 2020 very keen to continue the momentum he has built up in his last 6 internationals for Italy. He has been on target 3 times in the last 6 matches.