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Supercomputer predicts 2022 World Cup winner after simulating tournament 1000 times

World Cup trophy
Credit: Guardian

France are backed to defend their title in Qatar despite their dip in form.

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A supercomputer has predicted France will lift the World Cup trophy at the end of this year’s tournament in Qatar.

Les Bleus won the nation’s second World Cup trophy in 2018, beating Croatia 4-2 in Moscow. Since then, France’s insane squad depth has only improved, but their results have not been the same.

Last summer, Didier Deschamp’s side crashed out of the European Championship in the last-16 round. The Blues also found a disappointing start to their UEFA Nations League campaign earlier this month, failing to win any of their first four games in the tournament.

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However, that has not convinced The Analyst’s computer to write off France as the favourites to become world champions.

In case Deschamp’s side win the tournament, they would join Brazil and Italy as the only nations to have defended their World Cup titles.

Using an algorithm that has simulated the entire tournament 1000 times, the computer has given Brazil a second-highest chance to claim the title.

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Qatar World Cup favourites: Full rankings

=29. Costa Rica – 0%

=29. Saudi Arabia – 0%

29. Cameroon – 0%

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=26. Tunisia – 0.01%

=26. Morocco – 0.01%

=26. Canada – 0.01%

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=24. Ghana – 0.02%

=24. Australia – 0.02%

23. Ecuador – 0.17%

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22. Senegal – 0.19%

21. Serbia – 0.24%

=20. Korea Republic – 0.35%

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20. Qatar – 0.35%

19. Wales – 0.41%

18. United States – 0.46%

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17. Japan – 0.48%

16. Iran – 0.60%

15. Poland – 0.82%

14. Switzerland – 1.00%

13. Mexico – 1.37%

12. Uruguay – 1.48%

11. Denmark – 2.03%

10. Croatia – 2.31%

9. Portugal – 5.11%

8. Argentina – 6.45%

7. Germany – 7.21%

6. Netherlands – 7.70%

5. Belgium – 7.90%

4. England – 8.03%

3. Spain – 11.53%

2. Brazil – 15.73%

1. France – 17.93%