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Spanish Super Cup – Barcelona vs Real Madrid: Betting Preview

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Sports Innovation previews the Spanish Super Cup match between Barcelona and Real Madrid and offers team stats, betting tips and the latest odds.

After a difficult away trip to Granada in La Liga last weekend, Barcelona meet their intense rivals Real Madrid as they fly to Saudi Arabia for the Spanish Super Cup semifinal. This will mark as the second El Clasico of the season, given Los Blancos‘ 2-1 victory over the Catalan side last year.

The winner of tonight’s clash will go up against either Athletic Bilbao or Atletico Madrid in the final game on Sunday. Blaugrana are currently struggling to build their squad into an elite side due to several injuries and covid protocols.

On the other hand, Carlo Ancelotti’s team are topping the domestic campaign and are not showing any doubts about losing. Indeed, the only fact that this an El Clasico will bring out the heat this evening for both sides. This should be an entertaining game to watch!

Stats and facts for Barcelona and Real Madrid.

Facts are calculated for Super Cup

  • Barcelona has lost the last 3 matches in a row at home;
  • Total goals was OVER 2.5 in Barcelona’s last 6 of 8 matches;
  • Barcelona scored in the last 8 of 10 matches;
  • Barcelona conceded the last 6 matches in a row.
  • Real Madrid has won in the last 4 of 5 matches;
  • Real Madrid scored in the last 17 of 19 matches;
  • Real Madrid conceded in the last 15 of 17 matches;
  • Both teams scored in Real Madrid’s last 12 of 14 matches.

Lineup Barcelona vs Real Madrid

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Current form — Barcelona v. Real Madrid

The form of both teams is one of the biggest things to consider before placing a bet on the upcoming game.

Barcelona look to build on their current momentum

Xavi’s side have not lost a single game in their last five games reflecting positive signs, however, winning has also not been quite easy for them. In their previous three games, Barcelona won two games along with a draw. They beat Mallorca by 1-0 followed by another away win against Linares by 2-1. Their recent La Liga fixtures was a disappointing 1-1 draw against Granada.

Real Madrid aim for the silverware

Blancos are one of the best sides at the moment in Europe having shown immense capabilities across different competitions throughout the season. They won two matches and drew one in their last three encounters. Starting with a colossal 1-0 defeat at the hands of Getafe, Real Madrid went on to win their recent two affairs. First was a 3-1 win against Alcoyano and a 4-1 victory against Valencia.

Barcelona v. Real Madrid — fixture history

The fixture history of the two teams delivers good insights that are worth considering before placing a bet on the upcoming game.

With Real Madrid having spent a stint in a lower division this will be the first time in 4 seasons they take on Barcelona. In the last 6 meetings of these teams, the opponents played on an equal footing. Barcelona enter the match against Real Madrid with a 2-1-3 record in their previous 6 encounters in the Super Cup. This amounts to a 33% winning ratio for Barcelona, with Real Madrid victorious in 50% of the last 6 encounters.

Full Time Betting

Whether your betting strategy involves accumulators or you prefer betting singles, the bookmakers naturally offer prices on this upcoming encounter. Barcelona are currently priced at 4.00 to win, while the draw is 3.75. The away win for Real Madrid racks up a potential accumulator at odds of 1.83. Barcelona claimed all three points 5 times in their last 10 home league matches, while also drawing 2 games along the way. They had to endure 3 defeats in this run of games. Real Madrid won 2 of their last 10 league games away while drawing 1 time. They had to endure 6 defeats in this series of matches.

Barcelona have seen 8 of their previous 10 matches at King Fahd International Stadium offer over 2.5 goals. Of these 10 matches, 6 also went over 3.5 goals. In 6 of the last 10 league games away for Real Madrid the match had over 2.5 goals. Over 3.5 goals came up 5 times.

BTTS

The chance of both teams to score (BTTS) in this match is as high as 62%, judging by the odds on offer with the bookmakers. This equals a decent payout of odds 1.61 if you wish to place a bet on BTTS. Accordingly betting on a “NO” in the BTTS market pays out at odds 2.20. The last 10 home league games for Barcelona averaged 3.6 goals per game with BTTS paying out 6 of these last 10 matches. In the previous 9 away league games for Real Madrid, the average total goals were 3.3 with 7 of these 9 matches seeing BTTS.

SUMMARY MESSAGE.

Over/Under Betting

The chance of this match going over 2.5 goals is as high as 60% judging by the odds on offer with the bookmakers. This amounts to a payout of odds 1.66 if you wish to place a bet on OVER 2.5 goals. Accordingly, betting on under 2.5 goals pays out at odds 2.20. Barcelona’s last 10 home league games saw an average of 3.6 goals per match. 5 of Barcelona’s last 10 home matches had over 2.5 goals. Real Madrid’s last 9 away league games averaged 3.3 goals per game. 8 of Real Madrid’s last 10 away matches went over 2.5 goals.

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