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Serie A – Milan vs Roma: Betting Preview

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Sports Innovation previews the Serie A match between Milan and Roma and offers team stats and betting tips with the latest odds.

AC Milan and Roma will lock horns tonight in their first Serie A game of the new year at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. On paper, both squads are convincing that this game is going to bring an impressive drama on the field on Thursday. However, according to how the campaign has passed for the hosts, they might rise up as victors this evening.

Stefano Pioli’s side are cruising at the moment having earned 42 points so far in the league. Meanwhile, Jose Mourinho has yet to deliver his magic as they stand on the sixth spot in the table. Regardless, Giallorossi will try to salvage maximum points from this fixture.

Stats and facts for AC Milan and Roma.

Facts are calculated for Serie A

  • AC Milan scored in the last 22 of 24 matches;
  • AC Milan conceded in the last 7 of 9 matches;
  • Total goals was UNDER 3.5 in AC Milan’s last 3 of 5 matches.
  • Roma unbeaten the last 3 matches in a row;
  • Total goals was UNDER 3.5 in Roma’s last 5 of 7 matches;
  • Roma scored in the last 8 of 10 matches;
  • Roma conceded in the last 4 of 6 matches.

Lineup AC Milan vs Roma

Selected best tips from our partner

Current form — AC Milan v. Roma

The form of both teams is one of the biggest things to consider before placing a bet on the upcoming game.

AC Milan look for consistent results

Results have been pretty much up to scratch in recent matches for Rossoneri, who have performed more or less according to expectations. AC Milan have seen it all in their last 3 matches, which brought home 4 points. An encounter with Udinese brought a 1-1 draw, which was followed by a 1-0 defeat at the hands of SSC Napoli. Their most recent game had them back on the winning trail, as they beat Empoli by 4-2.

Roma looking for more points

Roma have been decent in their previous five games overall with three wins, one loss, and a draw. In their previous three clashes, they started with a 2-0 win over Spezia followed by a glorious 4-1 win over Atalanta. Mourinho’s recent game was a frustrating 1-1 draw against Sampdoria before going on the Christmas break.

According to the bookmakers, AC Milan are the favourites to win at 3.00 meaning, the bookies predict the visitors are in with a 33% chance of beating Roma. Adding an AC Milan to a potential accumulator, the best price at the time of writing is 2.25, depending on your preferred betting strategy.

AC Milan v. Roma — fixture history

The fixture history of the two teams delivers good insights that are worth considering before making your predictions and bets on the upcoming game.

AC Milan have the edge

In the most previous encounter between AC Milan and Roma, the former managed to hold on to a tight 2-1 win. Occasionally fans have to endure a low scoring encounter, but generally, their matches tend to be entertaining clashes with 6 of the previous 10 going over 2.5 goals. AC Milan have a 5-2-3 advantage in the Serie A against Roma.

Full Time Betting

It doesn’t matter whether your betting strategy involves accumulators or singles, the bookmakers will offer odds on this game. AC Milan are currently priced at 2.25 to win, while the draw is 3.50. The away win for Roma at 3.00 could also rack up an accumulator. AC Milan claimed all three points 6 times in their last 10 home league matches, while also drawing 2 games along the way. They had to endure 2 defeats in this run of games. Roma won 4 of their last 10 league games away while drawing 1 time. They had to endure 5 defeats in this series of matches.

Both teams scored a goal in 4 of the last 10 home league matches for AC Milan. Both teams also found the back of the net 6 times in the previous 10 league games away for Roma.


BTTS 1.53 vs 2.37 The last 10 home league games for AC Milan averaged 2.4 goals per game with BTTS paying out 4 of these last 10 matches. In the previous 10 away league games for Roma, the average total goals were 3.5 with 6 of these 10 matches seeing BTTS.


Over/Under Betting

The bookies seem to think this match will see plenty of goals and betting on over 2.5 goals pays out at odds 1.66. A price that equals a 60% chance of this match seeing a minimum of 3 goals. Should you prefer a low scoring bet your best odds are 2.20 for under 2.5 goals. AC Milan’s last 10 home league games saw an average of 2.4 goals per match. 4 of AC Milan’s last 10 home matches had over 2.5 goals. Roma’s last 10 away league games averaged 3.5 goals per game. 7 of Roma’s last 10 away matches went over 2.5 goals.

Top Goal Scorer