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Premier League – Burnley vs Arsenal: Betting Preview

Burnley, Arsenal
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Sports Innovation previews the Premier League match between Burnley and Arsenal and offers team stats and betting tips with the latest odds.

Burnley welcome Arsenal to Turf Moor on Saturday for their latest Premier League match.

The 19th-place hosts are winless after their first four games of the season, with just a single point to their name. Sean Dyche, fresh from putting pen-to-paper on a new four-year contract, doesn’t have a great record in this fixture either. The Clarets boss has lost 10 of his 13 encounters with Arsenal (W1 D2) across all competitions.

Dyche’s Arsenal counterpart Mikel Arteta, meanwhile, hailed a 1-0 win over Norwich as ‘the best week’ of his career. Last weekend’s victory was the Gunners’ first of the season. The three points lift them out of the relegation zone into 16th-place. Now they hope to make it back-to-back wins at Turf Moor, where they’ve been held to draws in their last two visits.

Let’s have a look at the form of both sides and the stats from their previous encounters to come up with a reasonable betting prediction.

Stats and analysis in the Premier League

Burnley have a poor record from their last 10 Premier League outings. The Clarets hit the target 0.7 times on average per game, scoring 7 goals along the way. More importantly, they kept just 1 clean sheet and conceded only 17 goals, which is an average of 1.7 per game.

Arsenal head to Turf Moor hoping to keep their impressive defensive stats from their last 10 Premier League fixtures going. The Gunners averaged an adequate 1.2 goals per game, with a total of 12 goals scored. In contrast, they only allowed 12 goals against for an average of 1.2 per game. Rather amazingly, they only kept their opponents from scoring in 4 of the matches.

Stats and facts for Burnley and Arsenal.

Fun stats Burnley

  • Burnley did not win the last 7 matches in a row;
  • Burnley did not win the last 12 matches in a row at home;
  • Burnley has lost in the last 6 of 7 matches;
  • Burnley has lost in the last 5 of 6 matches at home.

Fun stats Arsenal

  • Total goals was UNDER 3.5 in Arsenal’s last 5 of 7 matches;
  • Arsenal conceded in the last 4 of 6 matches.

Form Burnley vs Arsenal

The Clarets hope to stop the rot.

Burnley go into this encounter on the back of a miserable form in previous games. In their last 3 matches, Sean Dyche’s side played out a dull 0-0 draw at Newcastle, followed by a 1-1 draw with Leeds. Their most recent match brought a 3-1 defeat against Everton.

The Gunners struggling for results.

Arsenal will enter the match hoping to finally end their disappointing run of form in the league. In their previous 3 matches, Mikel Arteta’s side experienced a 6-0 win against West Brom and went on to a 5-0 defeat against Manchester City. Their latest match served up a 1-0 win against Norwich.

Burnley v Arsenal – Fixture history

There was no winner when Burnley and Arsenal last faced off, as they ended up sharing the spoils in a 1-1 draw on 6 March 2021.

Burnley enter the match against Arsenal with a 1-2-7 record in their previous 10 encounters in the Premier League. To put that otherwise, the hosts claimed a 10% win ratio, with Arsenal winning 70% of the last 10 encounters.

Top marksman

Chris Wood is Burnley’s best goal threat as the goal-dry hosts look to upset the odds. With 4 goals in his last 2 games, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang hopes to bring his A-game to the table again as he seeks to build on his recent form for Arsenal.