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Nations League: Spain vs Italy – Prediction, Stats & Odds

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Discover key betting insights for the Spain vs Italy semi-final in the UEFA Nations League, featuring the latest stats, expert tips, and the most favorable odds.

Spain and Italy will face off again in the semi-finals of the 2022/23 UEFA Nations League on Thursday at the De Grolsch Veste in Enschede, Netherlands.

Both teams qualified for the last four with 11 points from six games. Spain finished top of Group A2 by one point from Portugal, and Italy edged Hungary by a single point to win Group A3. They will now compete for a spot in Sunday’s final against either tournament hosts Netherlands or Croatia.

Spain vs Italy Preview

Spain Form

Spain have seen it all in their last three matches. La Roja first lost on penalties to Morocco in the last-16 of the World Cup after drawing 0-0. They recovered to snatch claiming 3 points in a 3-0 win against Norway in the opening game of their Euro 2024 qualifying campaign. Unfortunately, this was followed by a 2-0 defeat at the hands of Scotland.

Italy Form

Italy aren’t in decent shape based on the results of their last three matches. First, the European champions were brushed aside by Austria in a 2-0 friendly defeat. England were too strong as well, winning 1-2 in the opening match of their Euro 2024 qualifying campaign. However, in their most recent match, Roberto Mancini’s side returned to winning ways, downing Malta by a 2-0 scoreline in another Euro 2024 qualifier.

Spain vs Italy Stats

We’ve got some juicy statistics that will help you make the smartest bets! Based on the last couple of matches Spain and Italy have played across all tournaments, we’ve got some facts that will get your pulse racing.

  • Spain have scored in 25 of the last 27 matches
  • In 9 of the last 11 Spain matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
  • In 5 of the last 7 Spain matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
  • Spain have lost 3 of the last 4 matches while scoring less than 1.5 goals
  • Spain have not won 4 of the last 5 matches
  • In 9 of the last 11 Italy matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
  • Italy have scored in 8 of the last 10 matches

Spain vs Italy – Players in Form

Spain’s Alvaro Morata looks like he might be worth considering in the goalscorer’s market. The striker has scored twice in his most recent UEFA Nations League matches. Meanwhile, Italy’s Lorenzo Pellegrini is a force to be reckoned with. The attacking midfielder has a superb record in the competition, netting four goals in his last five appearances.

Spain vs Italy Betting Tips

Full-time result

In October 2021, Spain triumphed over Italy 2-1 in an electrifying Nations League semi-final showdown. The fierce battle took place in Milan, and now, almost two years later, the two great teams are set to clash once again. Although neither squad enters the match in top form. Spain have just one win in five games (D1 L3), while Italy defeated Malta 2-0 in their last match to snap out of a two-game losing streak.

Both teams to score

Spain have been dominating the game by scoring the first goal in seven out of their last ten matches. But don’t underestimate Italy, who have managed to get the opening goal in four out of their last 10 away games. Roberto Mancini’s side also won three of the past 10 matches to nil.

Total goals

Over 2.5 goals came out five times in the previous ten matches across all tournaments for Spain, who scored an average of 1.9 goals along the way. Over 2.5 goals happened in four of the last ten outings for Italy, who managed to score 1.4 times in those matches.

Match predictions: Spain vs Italy

To sum up, the upcoming match between Spain and Italy seems to be a good betting opportunity.

Spain vs Italy: Who wins the game?