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League One: Northampton vs Derby – Betting preview

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Ace Football previews the League One round 40 match between Northampton and Derby and offers team stats, betting tips and the latest odds.

Derby are highly favoured to claim a win against Northampton, whom they face on Saturday. In their current shape, a win at Sixfields Stadium seems to be the obvious outcome.

While Derby are chasing the lead in the League One after collecting 78 points in 39 rounds, Northampton trail by 50 points after 39 rounds, leaving them as number 14 in the table.

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Form: Northampton vs Derby

Northampton Form

In their previous three outings, Northampton drew 1-1 with Cambridge U, before losing 0-1 against Blackpool and 2-0 against Wycombe. Northampton only managed one meagre home win from a possible six at Sixfields Stadium in the League One. They also drew three and lost two of these six encounters, in which they scored six and conceded seven goals.

Derby Form

Derby are in awesome shape going into this next encounter, as they won their last three matches on the bounce. Bristol Rovers got left behind in a 0-3 win, before Reading got hammered in a 2-1 victory. Bolton was the most recent victim in a 1-0 win for Derby. Derby won three of a possible six away matches in the League One, as well as playing one draw and suffering two defeats. They scored eight while also conceding three times.

Betting facts for Northampton and Derby

Here are some facts that might be useful for placing bets on the upcoming game between Northampton and Derby. The facts are based on the statistics from the last couple of matches that these teams played across all tournaments.

  • In 11 of the last 12 Northampton home matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
  • In 11 of the last 12 Northampton home matches in the League One, the sum of goals was under 3.5
  • Northampton have conceded in 17 of the last 19 matches
  • Northampton have conceded in 17 of the last 19 matches in the League One
  • Northampton have not won 10 of the last 12 matches
  • In the last 13 Derby matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
  • In the last 13 Derby matches in the League One, the sum of goals was under 3.5
  • Derby have scored in 25 of the last 27 matches in the League One
  • Derby have scored in the last 11 matches in a row
  • Derby have won 3 of the last 4 matches without conceding a goal

In-form players: Northampton vs Derby

With two goals in six matches John Guthrie has been a regular feature on the scoresheet in recent matches, making him a tempting betting prospect, when going up against Derby and their defence. The visitors hope Dwight Gayle adds another to his current tally of three goals in his latest matches.

Popular markets: Northampton vs Derby

Full-time result

Northampton claimed four wins, drew three and lost three of their previous 10 home matches across all tournaments. Derby won seven, drew one and lost two of their last 10 games away. Derby won their last 4 matches on the trot.

Both teams to score

Northampton scored the first goal of the match in four of their previous ten games. Derby scored the opening goal in seven of the last ten away from home. Derby were able to win six of these matches without conceding a goal. Perhaps a number worth keeping in mind for an accumulator, depending on your betting strategy.

Total goals

Over 2.5 goals happened in four of Northampton’s last ten matches across all tournaments. They pulled off an average of 1.4 goals during this run. Of the last ten games for Derby, six had more than 2.5 goals, while they managed to score an average of 1.7 times goals per game. Derby scored at least once in their previous 11 matches on the bounce.

Recommended tip: Northampton vs Derby

In conclusion, the upcoming game between Northampton and Derby seems like a decent betting opportunity. Considering the abovementioned stats and facts, we have come up with a betting suggestion for this League One match.

Northampton vs Derby: Who wins the game?

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