Gremio vs Bahia – Match Preview

Home side Gremio is set to face Bahia in a crucial Serie A Round 23 clash. The game is scheduled for Thursday, August 17th, at 19:00 GMT. Gremio, in 14th place with 24 points from 20 matches, aims to move up the table. Bahia, in 7th place with 35 points from 22 games, seeks to strengthen their position in the top half. Both teams are eager for a win to positively impact their league campaigns. Gremio hopes to surpass preseason expectations, while Bahia looks to continue their strong performance.

Gremio – Form

Gremio’s recent form has been solid, with two wins and a draw in their last three outings. They secured a 2:1 home victory over Fluminense in the Copa Libertadores on August 13. This result was expected by bookmakers. They also claimed a 3:1 away win against Cuiaba in Serie A. This win came against the odds. Their third most recent match, a goalless draw at home against Corinthians in the Cup, did not meet expectations.

Bahia – Form

Bahia’s recent away form has shown varied results. They faced a 1:0 defeat against Fluminense in a Serie A fixture at Maracana Stadium on August 4, 2024. Kaua Elias scored the decisive goal. Despite the loss, the outcome matched bookmakers’ predictions. Before this, they secured a 1:1 draw against Botafogo RJ in a Cup match, surpassing expectations. Their game on July 27 against Internacional in Serie A also ended in a 1:1 draw, with David Duarte scoring for Bahia. These results were in line with bookmakers’ forecasts.

Gremio – Bahia – Head to Head

The last match between Gremio and Bahia was on April 28, 2024. Bahia won 1:0 in the Serie A competition. In their last 10 meetings, Gremio has won 5 times, Bahia has won twice, and 3 matches have ended in a draw. In the recent 5 clashes, both teams scored in 2 matches. This indicates a trend towards tighter defenses. Gremio has a strong home record against Bahia, not losing 14 of the last 15 home matches. They scored in 13 of those games. Also, 13 of the last 15 matches had under 3.5 goals.

Gremio – Bahia – Standings

As Round 23 of Serie A approaches, Gremio and Bahia’s standings show contrasting fortunes. Gremio is in 14th place with 24 points from 20 matches. This position is closer to the relegation zone than preferred. Their performance is seen as underwhelming, especially compared to preseason expectations. Bahia, however, is in 7th place with 35 points after 22 games. They have exceeded preseason forecasts by securing a spot in the table’s upper half. The 11-point and 7-rank difference between the teams sets the stage for an intriguing match. Gremio is desperate to improve, while Bahia aims to maintain their strong position.

Gremio vs Bahia – Top scorers

The home team’s goals have come from various players this season. Midfielders Franco Cristaldo, Gustavo Gomes, and Yeferson Soteldo have each scored three times. Their contributions have been crucial for the team. Martin Braithwaite and defender Gustavo Martins have each added two goals, showing their threat from set pieces.

The away team’s top scorer is midfielder Everaldo, with six goals in the Serie A campaign. Gabriel Teixeira and Thaciano, also midfielders, have scored four goals each. Jean Lucas has contributed three goals, and defender Luciano has scored twice. This shows the team’s offensive strength comes from various lines.

Gremio vs Bahia – Full-Time Betting

Bookmakers slightly favor Gremio with odds of 2.30 for a home win. Odds for a draw and an away win for Bahia are 3.25 and 3.20, respectively. Gremio has shown resilience by not losing 7 of their last 8 matches. This could give them an edge. Bahia, however, has found it tough on the road, with no wins in 8 of their last 9 away fixtures. Head-to-head records favor Gremio, who have won 4 of the last 5 home matches against Bahia.

The absence of key players like Edenilson, Gustavo Gomes, and Pepe due to suspensions could affect Gremio’s performance. However, they still appear to have the advantage. For those seeking higher returns, “halftime-fulltime” odds offer Gremio at 3.00 to lead at the break and win. The “draw-no-bet” option for Gremio is at 1.615, offering a refund if the match ends in a draw. The “double-chance” market gives odds of 1.364 for either a Gremio win or a draw. This appeals to cautious bettors who wish to cover two outcomes. Given Gremio’s strong home record against Bahia, these markets might provide valuable options for bettors with different risk appetites.

Gremio vs Bahia – Over/Under Betting

The odds for “Over 2.5” goals are at 2.075, while “Under 2.5” goals is at 1.727. Past meetings between Gremio and Bahia have often seen fewer goals, with 13 of the last 15 encounters having under 3.5 goals. Gremio’s recent matches show a balanced goal difference, with 20 scored and 23 conceded in 20 matches. Bahia has scored 31 times and conceded 25 in 22 games.

Considering Gremio’s strong scoring at home against Bahia and both teams’ recent performances, the “Over 2.5” option might offer value. However, the trend in their clashes and the odds for “Under 2.5” goals suggest a tighter match may be more likely.

Gremio vs Bahia – BTTS Betting

The BTTS market has odds of 1.80 for “Yes” and 1.95 for “No.” This reflects a balanced view of the possibilities. In the last 10 matches between these teams, both teams scored in 4 games. Gremio’s recent home form and Bahia’s away record show both teams scored in 2 of their last 5 matches, respectively.

Given Gremio’s strong home defense against Bahia and the trend for under 3.5 goals in their matchups, “BTTS: No” at 1.95 might be slightly more likely for bettors in this Serie A clash.

Gremio vs Bahia – Prediction