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EFL Cup – Liverpool vs Arsenal: Betting Preview

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Sports Innovation previews the EFL Cup match between Liverpool and Arsenal and offers team stats, betting tips and the latest odds.

Liverpool enter this EFL Cup first leg semifinal against Arsenal as a small favourite and will be eager to secure a good result before the return match. The aggregate winner of this Carabao Cup semifinal will face Chelsea who beat Tottenham on Wednesday night to progress to the finals.

The Reds have been quite shaky at the moment in the absence of star forwards Mohamed Salah and Sadio Mane due to the AFCON. However, Jurgen Klopp’s side will attempt to manoeuvre their way out to the next stage.

On the other hand, the Gunners are will hope to continue their decent run in the tournament by battling one of the best sides in England. Their previous meeting was a win for Liverpool by 4-0 in the Premier League in November 2021.

Season facts for Liverpool and Arsenal.

Facts are calculated for EFL Cup

  • Liverpool has won the last 3 matches in a row;
  • Liverpool has won in the last 4 of 5 matches;
  • Liverpool has lost in the last 4 of 5 matches at home;
  • Total goals was OVER 2.5 in Liverpool’s last 7 of 9 matches.
  • Arsenal has won the last 4 matches in a row;
  • Arsenal has won the last 4 matches in a row when playing away;
  • Arsenal unbeaten the last 6 matches in a row when playing away;
  • Arsenal has won in the last 8 of 9 matches.

Lineup Liverpool vs Arsenal

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Current form — Liverpool v. Arsenal

The form of both teams is one of the biggest things to consider before placing a bet on the upcoming game.

Liverpool have the home advantage

The Reds enter this match on a really fine note as past weeks have brought a very acceptable 11 points out of a possible 18. However, their recent results have not been satisfactory enough. They lost to Leicester by 1-0 before a 2-2 draw against Chelsea. Liverpool’s latest encounter was a 4-1 win over Shrewsbury.

Following an evenly contested Round of 4 against Preston, Liverpool booked their spot in the semifinal of the EFL Cup after a thrilling penalty shootout.

Arsenal hope to achieve silverware

The Gunners have been performing above expectations for the past few weeks. But, their recent games were not up to the mark. In their last three games, they started with a 5-0 thumping of Norwich followed by a defeat at the hands of Manchester City by 2-1. Their latest match was a heavy 1-0 loss to Nottingham Forest in the FA Cup Round 3.

Arsenal managed to claw their way through the Round of Quarter Finals against Sunderland despite losing one leg. A win in the other leg sent Arsenal through to the semifinals of the Carabao Cup with an aggregate score of 6-5.

Liverpool v. Arsenal — fixture history

The fixture history of the two teams delivers good insights that are worth considering before placing a bet on the upcoming game.

The value lies in a draw

It finished all square on when Liverpool last faced Arsenal in the EFL Cup. With both denying to back down, the scoreboard said 0-0 in the end. Depending on your betting strategy, another draw will no doubt spike up your next accumulator. Look for a win for either side in the betting market here as a stalemate seems highly unlikely. They haven’t played out a single draw in their last 4 matches in the EFL Cup.

Full Time Betting

The Reds are considered favourites to win by most observers of the game. The best price you will find on a home win is 1.83, as bookies believe The Reds have a 55% chance of beating Arsenal. If you fancy a draw on your accumulator, there are odds at 4.00 on offer, while an away win for The Gunners is priced at 3.80. Liverpool claimed a modest 4 wins from their previous 10 home league matches. They split the points with the visiting team 1 time, whilst losing 5 times. Arsenal won 7 of their last 10 away league games while drawing 1 time. They were left with 2 defeats out of a possible 10.

Liverpool have seen 7 of their previous 10 matches at Anfield offer over 2.5 goals. Of these 10 matches, 5 also went over 3.5 goals. In 8 of the last 10 league games away with Arsenal, the match had over 2.5 goals. Over 3.5 goals came up 6 times.


The chance of both teams to score (BTTS) in this match is as high as 62%, judging by the odds on offer with the bookmakers. This equals a decent payout of odds 1.61 if you wish to place a bet on BTTS. Accordingly betting on a “NO” in the BTTS market pays out at odds 2.20. The last 10 home league games for Liverpool averaged 7.1 goals per game with BTTS paying out 7 of these last 10 matches. In the previous 10 away league games for Arsenal the average total goals were 6.2 with 5 of these 10 matches seeing BTTS.


Over/Under Betting

The chance of this match going over 2.5 goals is as high as 61% judging by the odds on offer with the bookmakers. This amounts to a payout of odds 1.65 if you wish to place a bet on OVER 2.5 goals. Accordingly, betting on under 2.5 goals pays out at odds 2.20. Liverpool’s last 10 home league games saw an average of 7.1 goals per match. 7 of Liverpool’s last 10 home matches had over 2.5 goals. Arsenal’s last 10 away league games averaged 6.2 goals per game. 6 of Arsenal’s last 10 away matches went over 2.5 goals.

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