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Championship: Derby vs Bolton – Betting preview

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Ace Football previews the Championship round 15 match between Derby and Bolton and offers team news, stats and a free betting tip with the latest odds.

Both Derby and Bolton need points to escape their current position at the relegation-end of the Championship table. The match takes place at Pride Park and could be labelled a serious six-pointer.

Derby are number 23 in the table on seven points after 14 matches. Bolton rank as number 16 with 17 points after 14 matches played.

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Form: Derby vs Bolton

Derby Form

A single point is all Derby can show for their efforts in the past three matches. They managed a 1-1 draw with Sheffield United, before getting trounced 4-1 against Millwall while Norwich won 0-4. Derby didn’t manage a single win in any of their previous six Championship games at the Pride Park. They have a record of one draws and five defeats, in which they conceded 12 and scored two goals.

Bolton Form

Bolton suffered a couple of disappointments in their last three matches as they were run over by Middlesbrough in a 1-5 defeat. Bristol City also proved too hard to handle as they won 2-3, before Bolton were able to strike back in a 0-1 win against Charlton. Bolton won three of a possible six away matches in the Championship, as well as playing one draw and suffering two defeats. They scored ten while also conceding 11 times.

Betting stats for Derby and Bolton

Here are some stats and facts that might be useful for betting on the upcoming match between Derby and Bolton. The facts are based on the data from the last couple of matches that these teams played across all competitions.

  • In 17 of the last 19 Derby home matches in the Championship, the sum of goals was under 3.5
  • In 15 of the last 17 Derby home matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
  • Derby have lost 7 of the last 9 home matches while scoring less than 1.5 goals
  • In 9 of the last 11 Derby matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
  • In 9 of the last 11 Derby matches in the Championship, the sum of goals was under 3.5
  • In 8 of the last 10 Bolton matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
  • In 8 of the last 10 Bolton matches in the Championship, the sum of goals was over 2.5
  • In 4 of the last 5 Bolton away matches the sum of goals was over 3.5
  • In 4 of the last 5 Bolton away matches in the Championship, the sum of goals was over 3.5
  • In 4 of the last 5 Bolton away matches the sum of goals was over 2.5

Players on top: Derby vs Bolton

Having scored just once lately in the Championship, Sammie Szmodics will be eager to hit the target again, and the upcoming game presents an opportunity to step up. Bolton hope Sam Dalby can inflict some damage on their upcoming opponents by adding to his tally of three Championship goals in his last six Championship games.

Popular markets: Derby vs Bolton

Full-time result

In their previous 10 matches at home across all tournaments Derby won none, drew two and lost eight. Bolton won four, drew three and lost three of their previous 10 games away from home. Derby have not lost to Bolton in 10 consecutive home meetings.

Both teams to score

Amazingly, Derby scored the first goal of the match in just three out of the last ten games at home. Bolton got the opening goal in four out of their last ten away games. Bolton should be able to score at least once on Friday as Derby failed in keeping a single clean sheet in those last 10 outings. Bolton managed three clean sheets in their 10 most recent outings. Derby have scored in 6 consecutive home meetings with Bolton.

Total goals

Over 2.5 goals happened in five of Derby’s last ten matches across all tournaments. They pulled off an average of 0.6 goals during this run. Of the last ten games for Bolton, seven had more than 2.5 goals, while they managed to score an average of 1.5 times goals per game. Amazingly, Derby failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 10 matches.