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Champions League – Milan vs Porto: Betting Preview

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Sports Innovation previews the Champions League match between AC Milan and Porto and offers team stats, betting tips and the latest odds.

AC Milan will enter this encounter with high hopes to secure their first points in the Champions League. With three defeats in their last three fixtures in the tournament, they lie at the bottom of Group B. If Rossoneri want to keep their European dream alive, today’s game is of utmost importance.

FC Porto will probably have to raise their level to secure further success in the European competition. While a single defeat in 6 matches is not bad, winning only twice along the way seems a bit modest.

Season facts for AC Milan and FC Porto.

Facts are calculated for Champions League

  • AC Milan has lost the last 5 matches in a row;
  • AC Milan did not win the last 6 matches in a row;
  • AC Milan did not win the last 4 matches in a row at home;
  • AC Milan has lost in the last 5 of 6 matches.
  • Total goals was UNDER 3.5 in FC Porto’s last 4 of 6 matches;
  • FC Porto scored in the last 6 of 8 matches.

Lineup AC Milan vs FC Porto

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Current form — AC Milan v. FC Porto

The form of both teams is one of the biggest things to consider before placing a bet on the upcoming game.

AC Milan continue to sparkle

Things can hardly get any worse for AC Milan who enter the match on the back of a handful of defeats. AC Milan have really been enjoying their football in their previous 3 matches, which started off with a 2-4 win against Bologna. They went on to beat Torino by 1-0, before also getting the better of Roma in a 1-2 victory. However, the Champions League has been a misery for the hosts.

FC Porto look to grab a golden ticket today

FC Porto keep brushing aside all resistance claiming yet another 4-1 win to their collection last time out in Primeira Liga against Boavista. The Portuguese side are the league leaders in the domestic league at the moment and stand third in the European competition below Liverpool and Atletico and above their upcoming opponents.

AC Milan v. FC Porto — fixture history

The fixture history of the two teams delivers good insights that are worth considering before placing a bet on the upcoming game.

The last match between FC Porto vs AC Milan was a Champions League match back on 19 October 2021 and saw FC Porto claim a 1-0 victory. AC Milan head into their upcoming match against FC Porto with a 50% winning record in recent Champions League meetings. In 2 encounters, that amounts to a 1-0-1 record for the home side, as they amassed a win rate of 50%.

Full Time Betting

AC Milan are considered favourites to win by most observers of the game. The best price you will find on a home win is 1.95, as bookies predict AC Milan to have a 51% chance of beating FC Porto. If you wish to bet the draw, there are odds at 3.70 on offer, while an away win for FC Porto pays out at 4.00. AC Milan won just 3 of their last 10 home league games. FC Porto lost 4 of their last 10 away league games.


BTTS 1.70 vs 2.15 The last 10 home league games for AC Milan averaged 1.6 goals per game with BTTS paying out 3 of these last 10 matches. In the previous 10 away league games for FC Porto, the average total goals were 2.5 with 4 of these 10 matches seeing BTTS.


Over/Under Betting

The bookies seem to think this match will see plenty of goals and betting on over 2.5 goals pays out at odds 1.85. A price that equals a 54% chance of this match seeing a minimum of 3 goals. Should you prefer a low scoring bet your best odds are 2.05 for under 2.5 goals. The last 10 home league games of AC Milan had an average of 1.6 goals per match. Of their last 10 home matches, 5 went over 2.5 goals. FC Porto’s last 10 away league games averaged 2.5 goals per game. Meanwhile, 6 of FC Porto’s last 10 away matches offered over 2.5 goals.

First Goal Scorer