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Champions League – Liverpool vs Porto: Betting Preview

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Sports Innovation previews the Champions League match between Liverpool and Porto and offers team stats, betting tips and the latest odds.

It has been an impressive tournament so far for Liverpool, who aim to make good use of opening the fifth group stage game at home. With 4 wins and just 1 defeat in their past 6 Champions League matches few teams fancy going up against Liverpool.

Strictly speaking, results have not been too impressive for FC Porto lately in the tournament. Although they sit in the second spot in Group B, Atletico are looming just behind them and will battle tonight against Milan in their fixture. Which means that Porto will have to battle their hearts out this evening if they wish to see the next round of the tournament.

Be that as it may, it will be a ginormous task for the away side to outperform Jurgen Klopp’s side at Anfield. The Reds have been uncluttered this season and will continue to do so.

Season facts for Liverpool and FC Porto.

Facts are calculated for Champions League

  • Liverpool has won the last 4 matches in a row;
  • Liverpool unbeaten the last 5 matches in a row;
  • Liverpool unbeaten the last 5 matches in a row at home;
  • Liverpool has won in the last 4 of 5 matches.
  • FC Porto unbeaten the last 3 matches in a row when playing away;
  • Total goals was UNDER 3.5 in FC Porto’s last 5 of 7 matches;
  • FC Porto scored in the last 7 of 9 matches.

Lineup Liverpool vs FC Porto

Selected best tips from our partner

Current form — Liverpool v. FC Porto

The form of both teams is one of the biggest things to consider before placing a bet on the upcoming game.

Liverpool look to seal the qualification

Liverpool go into this encounter high on confidence following 4 wins from their last 6 matches. Liverpool are a bit back and forth at the moment, but at least mostly forth, as they beat Atletico Madrid by 2-0. Following that up proved too difficult, as they lost 3-2 against West Ham, before claiming 3 points in a 4-0 win against Arsenal.

Porto need a miracle tonight

FC Porto has been doing comfortably well in their past three games except for the 1-1 draw against Milan in their last Champions League fixture. They went on to win against Santa Clara by 3-0 in the Primeira Liga followed by a massive 5-1 win at home over Feirense.

In a match between two sides performing almost identical in recent weeks, we still favour The Reds to first make a breakthrough. The bookmakers currently settles the price for a home win at 1.95, whereas a win for the visitors is 3.80. A draw gets you 3.80, should you prefer to go for the long shot. Perhaps on an accumulator.

Liverpool v. FC Porto — fixture history

The fixture history of the two teams delivers good insights that are worth considering before placing a bet on the upcoming game.

Once, twice, three times is the charm

Liverpool won the last two meetings against FC Porto in the Champions League by a comfortable margin. A 5-1 win was the follow up to a 4-1 win in two entertaining encounters. Over 2.5 goals only came out as a winning bet 4 times in the past 9 matches between Liverpool and FC Porto. Both teams found the back of the net 4 times in those 9 matches. Liverpool tend to have the upper hand against FC Porto, grabbing all 3 points 6 times in 9 matches in the Champions League.

Full Time Betting

The Reds are considered favourites to win by most observers of the game. The best price you will find on a home win is 1.95, as bookies believe The Reds have a 51% chance of beating FC Porto. If you fancy a draw on your accumulator, there are odds at 3.80 on offer, while an away win for FC Porto is priced at 3.80. Liverpool were able to win 6 of their previous 10 home league games, while also managing 2 draws. They were 2 times in this series of matches. FC Porto won 4 of their last 10 away league games and drew 2 matches. They also suffered 4 defeats in this run.

Liverpool scored the first goal of the game 7 times in their previous 10 league outings at Anfield. The visitors from FC Porto were first to get in with a goal in 7 of their last 10 away games.

BTTS

The chance of both teams to score (BTTS) in this match is as high as 60%, judging by the odds on offer with the bookmakers. This equals a decent payout of odds 1.67 if you wish to place a bet on BTTS. Accordingly betting on a “NO” in the BTTS market pays out at odds 2.20. The last 10 home league games for Liverpool averaged 2.4 goals per game with BTTS paying out 4 of these last 10 matches. In the previous 10 away league games for FC Porto, the average total goals were 2.2 with 4 of these 10 matches seeing BTTS.

SUMMARY MESSAGE.

Over/Under Betting

The bookies believe in a match with plenty of goals, and if you believe so too, your best price is odds 1.80 on over 2.5 goals. That equals a 56% chance of this match having at least 3 goals. Should you prefer a low scoring bet your best odds are 2.10 for under 2.5 goals. The last 10 home league games of Liverpool had an average of 2.4 goals per match. Of their last 10 home matches, 6 went over 2.5 goals. FC Porto’s last 10 away league games averaged 2.2 goals per game. Meanwhile, 6 of FC Porto’s last 10 away matches offered over 2.5 goals.

Top Goal Scorer

Liverpool fans will have their attention on their primary goal getters Mohamed Salah and Sadio Mane tonight. Both have been destructive in front of the goal this campaign and will have to perform their duty in the absence of Roberto Firmino. For Porto, Mehdi Taremi and Luis Diaz both will be the source of some much-needed goals in this tournament.