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Champions League – Atletico Madrid vs AC Milan: Betting Preview

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Sports Innovation previews the Champions League match between Atletico Madrid and AC Milan and offers team stats, betting tips and the latest odds.

Atletico Madrid will enter tonight’s Champions League clash against AC Milan with the backing of a home crowd. They need three points from this fixture if they want to keep their tournament dreams alive. Diego Simeone’s men sit on the third spot with four points in Group B, whereas Milan are last with just one point.

If Colchoneros are successful in defeating the Serie A side and Liverpool beat Porto tonight, Atletico will have a wide opening to breach through to the next round. They have a visit to Porto in game week 6 which might be a final showdown for Atletico.

Rossoneri, on the other hand, will find it much tougher as they will battle against the Reds in their next game in this tournament. Milan will have to find a way to beat their opponents tonight if they wish for greater odds against Liverpool next time out.

Season facts for Atletico Madrid and AC Milan.

Facts are calculated for Champions League

  • Atletico Madrid did not win the last 5 matches in a row at home;
  • Total goals was UNDER 3.5 in Atletico Madrid’s last 8 of 10 matches;
  • Atletico Madrid conceded in the last 6 of 8 matches;
  • Atletico Madrid $NON_SCORING in the last 4 of 6 matches.
  • AC Milan did not win the last 7 matches in a row;
  • AC Milan has lost the last 3 matches in a row when playing away;
  • AC Milan has lost in the last 5 of 6 matches;
  • AC Milan has lost in the last 4 of 5 matches when playing away.

Lineup Atletico Madrid vs AC Milan

Selected best tips from our partner

Current form — Atletico Madrid v. AC Milan

The form of both teams is one of the biggest things to consider before placing a bet on the upcoming game.

Atletico Madrid need to win tonight

Results have been on par for Atletico Madrid in their past games, as they have performed more or less according to expectations. Atletico Madrid have seen it all in their last 3 matches, which brought home 4 points. First, they went down 2-0 against Liverpool, before picking up a 3-3 draw against Valencia. Their latest match brought a 1-0 win in their encounter with Osasuna.

AC Milan look poor on the road

AC Milan were halted in their steps last week with a defeat to Fiorentina by 4-3 in the league, though form has otherwise been decent lately. They drew against Porto by 1-1 before another 1-1 tie against neighbours Inter Milan in the domestic league.

Atletico Madrid v. AC Milan — fixture history

The fixture history of the two teams delivers good insights that are worth considering before placing a bet on the upcoming game.

Atletico Madrid have the home support

The last time the pair played each other, Atletico Madrid came away as winners in a Champions League, back in September 2021. At the time of writing, the bookmakers are offering the following prices on this encounter: A win for Atletico Madrid pays out at 1.67, the best prize for a draw is 3.90, while an away win for AC Milan gets you odds 5.50. Atletico Madrid have been able to win 100% of their last 3 encounters against upcoming AC Milan in the Champions League. In other words, they have a 3-0-0 recent record, with the latter winning 0% of the matches.

Full Time Betting

Atletico Madrid are considered favourites to win by most observers of the game. The best price you will find on a home win is 1.67, as bookies believe Atletico Madrid have a 60% chance of beating AC Milan. If you fancy a draw on your accumulator, there are odds at 3.90 on offer, while an away win for AC Milan is priced at 5.50. Atletico Madrid claimed a modest 4 wins from their previous 10 home league matches. They split the points with the visiting team 4 times, whilst losing 2 times. AC Milan won 2 of their last 10 away league games while drawing 2 times. They were left with 6 defeats from a possible 10.

Only 3 of the previous 10 Champions League matches at home for Atletico Madrid had over 2.5 goals. Over 3.5 goals only came up 3 times. In 6 of the last 10 league games away for AC Milan the match had over 2.5 goals. Over 3.5 goals came up 5 times.


BTTS 1.90 vs 1.91 Over / Under – stats message


Over/Under Betting

The bookies seem to think this match will see plenty of goals and betting on over 2.5 goals pays out at odds 1.90. A price that equals a 53% chance of this match seeing a minimum of 3 goals. Should you prefer a low scoring bet your best odds are 2.00 for under 2.5 goals. The last 10 home league games of Atletico Madrid had an average of 2.1 goals per match. Of their last 10 home matches, 5 went over 2.5 goals. AC Milan’s last 10 away league games averaged 3.1 goals per game. Meanwhile, 6 of AC Milan’s last 10 away matches offered over 2.5 goals.

Top Goal Scorer