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Champions League – AC Milan vs Liverpool: Betting Preview

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Sports Innovation previews the Champions League match between AC Milan and Liverpool and offers team stats and betting tips with the latest odds.

AC Milan welcome Liverpool to San Siro on Tuesday for their final Champions League group-stage fixture.

Both teams arrive with contrasting fortunes. Liverpool have already booked a spot in the next round, having comfortably qualified as Group B winners. The Reds, therefore, enter the clash under no pressure.

The same can’t be said for AC Milan, though. The Rossoneri are in third place in Group B and, as things stand, won’t reach the last-16. They must get a result here and hope Porto, who sit a point above them in second, fail to beat Atletico Madrid in the other group fixture.

AC Milan vs Liverpool stats and analysis

One look at the Group B table says it all. Liverpool hold an incredible 10-point lead in the standings after only five games. But while the Reds can sit back and take it easy in Italy, the same cannot be said for AC Milan. The home side is down in third and must win to have any chance of following their opponents into the Champions League knockouts.

Stats and facts for AC Milan and Liverpool in Champions League.

  • AC Milan did not win the last 5 matches in a row at home;
  • Total goals was UNDER 3.5 in AC Milan’s last 3 of 5 matches;
  • AC Milan conceded in the last 6 of 8 matches;
  • AC Milan scored in the last 5 of 7 matches.
  • Liverpool has won the last 5 matches in a row;
  • Liverpool unbeaten the last 6 matches in a row;
  • Liverpool has won in the last 5 of 6 matches;
  • Liverpool scored in the last 14 of 16 matches.

Lineup AC Milan vs Liverpool

Current form — AC Milan v. Liverpool

AC Milan look back on their last 3 matches with 6 points to show from their efforts. Against Sassuolo, they were left empty-handed in a 3-1 defeat, but they avenged themselves by beating Genoa in a 3-0 win. They followed that up with a 2-0 win against Salernitana in their most recent outing.

Liverpool have been in awesome shape going into this next encounter, as they won their last 3 matches on the bounce. Southampton got left behind in a 4-0 win, before Everton got hammered in a 1-4 victory. Wolves were the most recent victim in a 0-1 win for Liverpool.

AC Milan v. Liverpool — fixture history

The last match between these teams was a Champions League match back on 15 September 2021 and saw Liverpool claim a 3-2 victory.

AC Milan have been able to win 20% of their last 5 encounters against upcoming Liverpool in the Champions League. In other words, they have a 1-0-4 recent record, with the latter winning 80% of the matches. Over 2.5 goals only came out as a winning bet 3 times in their past 5 matches. Both teams also found the back of the net 3 times in those 5 matches. When looking for value bets with your betting strategy, adding both teams not to score to accumulator look like the smart move.

Full Time betting

It doesn’t matter whether your betting strategy involves accumulators or singles, the bookmakers will offer odds on this game. AC Milan are currently priced at 2.10 to win, while the draw is 4.00. The away win for Liverpool at 3.45 could also rack up an accumulator.

Primary goal getter

It is tempting to look at Zlatan Ibrahimovic as a possible marksman for AC Milan, as he has provided the team with 3 goals in their previous 6 games. As Mohamed Salah and Diogo Jota could be rested, Divock Origi might be worth a punt for Liverpool.