Let’s review some of the most important betting stats from the Bundesliga’s 2022-23 campaign.
In the thrilling rollercoaster ride that was the Bundesliga 2022-23 season, Bayern Munich emerged victorious once again, clinching their remarkable 11th consecutive league title.
But let’s not be deceived by Bayern’s dominance, as this exhilarating season was anything but predictable.
Throughout the campaign, Acefootball presented weekly and daily betting tips on the Bundesliga fixtures. Now it’s time to review the statistical trends that shaped the betting landscape throughout the Bundesliga season.
More goals, Less BTTS!
Compared to the last season, the percentage of home and away victories have stayed the same in the Bundesliga. The German top flight has also stayed attractive to bettors who are looking for higher odds on draws.
In a consistent trend since 2020, the number of goals in the league kept growing last season. However, more games were finished, with only one side finding the back of the net.
| Season | 2022/23 | 2021/22 | 2019/20 |
| Home Win | 47% | 47% | 42% |
| Draw | 25% | 24% | 26% |
| Away Win | 28% | 29% | 31% |
| BTTS | 59% | 61% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 58% | 59% |
| Goals Per Match | 3.17 | 3.12 | 3.03 |
Best Bundesliga teams for BTTS betting
BTTS has remained one of the most popular betting markets for Bundesliga bettors. With the number of goals per game hovering above 3.1, it’s not surprising to see the BTTS odds decline during the campaign.
However, one could still find a lot of attractive bets by paying attention to the balance of the teams’ attacking and defensive forms.
A clear example is Bayern Munich, whose inconsistent defensive displays have seen them return a 65% winning rate in the BTTS market.
| Team | BTTS | Goals per Match |
| Stuttgart | 74% | 3.00 |
| Werder Bremen | 71% | 3.38 |
| Hoffenheim | 68% | 3.09 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 68% | 3.24 |
| Hertha Berlin | 68% | 3.26 |
| Mainz | 65% | 3.21 |
| Bayern Munich | 65% | 3.82 |
| Augsburg | 62% | 3.09 |
Teams with most Over 2.5 win rates
During the 2022-23 season, 60% of the Bundesliga games ended with at least three goals. That’s 7% higher than the Premier League and 14% higher than Serie A.
It’s not shocking to see Borussia Dortmund lead the table for the most Over 2.5 matches. But the likes of Frankfurt and Mainz surprised the bookmakers and fans with their eventful fixtures last season.
| Team | Over 2.5 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 71% |
| RB Leipzig | 68% |
| Werder Bremen | 68% |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 65% |
| Bayern Munich | 65% |
| Mainz | 65% |
| Schalke 04 | 62% |
| Monchengladbach | 62% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 62% |
| Hoffenheim | 62% |
| Stuttgart | 62% |
Best correct score choices for Bundesliga
Correct score is a high-risk market that might not be popular among the average punters but has become the focus of many data analysts who wish to benefit from its high odds.
The most repeated result throughout the season was 1-1, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. It’s interesting that 1-0 hasn’t even made the top five, while it was the most repeated result in both the Premier League and La Liga.
| Full Time Score | Number of Matches | Percentage |
| 1-1 | 38 | 12% |
| 2-1 | 26 | 8% |
| 2-1 | 22 | 7% |
| 2-2 | 20 | 7% |
| 1-2 | 19 | 6% |
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