Athletico Paranaense vs Gremio – Match Preview

On Saturday, August 4th at 19:00 GMT, Athletico Paranaense will host Gremio at the historic Independencia Stadium. This match is for the 21st round of the Serie A tournament. Athletico Paranaense, currently 8th with 28 points, has scored 22 goals and conceded 18. Gremio, in 16th place with 18 points, has scored 15 goals and conceded 22. Both teams are keen on a victory. Athletico Paranaense aims to move up the table, while Gremio seeks to avoid relegation.

Athletico Paranaense – Form

Athletico Paranaense has shown solid form, with two wins and a draw in their last three matches. They defeated Red Bull Bragantino 2:0 on July 31st. Before that, they won 2:1 against Cuiaba. Their third most recent match was a 2:1 victory over Cerro Porteno. These results suggest Athletico Paranaense is in good shape for their next game.

Gremio – Form

Gremio’s recent performances have been mixed. Their last match ended in a goalless draw against Corinthians on August 1st. Before that, they had a 2-2 draw with Corinthians again. Their victory over Vitoria on July 21st ended with goals from Yeferson Soteldo and Reinaldo. These outcomes show Gremio’s resilience.

Athletico Paranaense – Gremio – Head to Head

The last time Gremio faced Athletico Paranaense was on April 17th, 2024. Gremio won 2:0. The last 10 matches between them have been evenly split, with 5 wins each. In the last five head-to-head games, both teams scored in 3 matches. Notably, in 12 of the last 14 matches between them, there were under 3.5 goals.

Standings

As the 21st round approaches, Athletico Paranaense is 8th with 28 points. They have a positive goal difference of +4. Gremio is 16th, just above the relegation zone, with 18 points and a -7 goal difference. The 10-point gap between them is significant as the season progresses.

Top Scorers

Gonzalo Mastriani leads Athletico Paranaense’s scoring with 4 goals. Julimar and Lucas Di Yorio each have 3 goals. Fernandinho and Agustin Canobbio have contributed 2 goals each. For Gremio, Franco Cristaldo and Yeferson Soteldo have each scored 3 goals. Reinaldo and Gustavo Gomes have added 2 goals each, with Rodrigo Ely also scoring.

Full-Time Betting

Bookmakers favor Athletico Paranaense with odds of 1.75 for a win. A draw is at 3.75, and Gremio’s win is at 4.50. Athletico Paranaense’s recent wins and higher standing make them favorites. They also have a healthier squad compared to Gremio, which has three suspended players.

The “halftime-fulltime” bet for Athletico Paranaense is at 2.40. The “draw-no-bet” option for Athletico is at 1.30. For Gremio supporters, the “double-chance” bet for a win or draw is at 1.25.

Over/Under Betting

The “Over 2.5” goals is priced at 2.10, while “Under 2.5” goals is at 1.70. Considering the history and recent forms, “Under 2.5” at 1.70 could be a safer bet. However, “Over 2.5” at 2.10 offers value for those expecting more goals.

BTTS Betting

The odds for “BTTS: Yes” are at 2.00. Given the history and recent performances, “BTTS: Yes” could be a plausible outcome. However, “BTTS: No” at 1.75 suggests a tight contest.

Prediction

Given the history and both teams’ recent form, under 2.5 goals seems a likely outcome for this match.