Atalanta vs AC Milan: Match Analysis and Betting Tip

With both sides chasing a place inside the top 4, important points are at stake as Atalanta take on AC Milan for their season finale in Serie A.

La Dea currently hold a two-point advantage over their third-placed opponents in second place in the table. The home side has amassed 78 points after 37 matches and avoiding defeat on Sunday will guarantee their top 4 spot. That said, AC Milan would love to knock them off their perch and nick the runners-up spot behind champions Inter.

Atalanta mean business.

Atalanta go into this encounter high on confidence following 4 wins from their last 6 games. In their last 3 matches, Gian Piero Gasperini’s side earned a 2-0 win over Benevento, followed by a rousing 4-3 win against Genoa. Their most recent match brought a 2-1 defeat against Juventus.

La Dea have been enjoying a strong run of home form recently with 5 wins in the last 6 games since March, and the focus is fixed on adding another win to their account.

AC Milan in nice flow.

One can’t really point a finger at the results for AC Milan in past weeks as they have performed according to their level. In their previous 3 matches, the Rossoneri demolished Juventus in a 3-0 win and went on to a 7-0 win against Torino. Their latest match served up a dull 0-0 draw at Cagliari.

It is a little surprising to see Stefano Pioli’s men placed as the underdog here considering their formidable 4 wins in the last 6 away matches since March.

Atalanta vs AC Milan h2h

Atalanta have the edge

The last time the pair played each other in the Serie A, Atalanta grabbed all 3 points in a 3-0 win. With just 5 of their previous 10 matches going over 2.5 goals, the value bet could be going for under 2.5 goals. Atalanta enjoy a 4-5-1 advantage in the Serie A against AC Milan.

Season facts for Atalanta and AC Milan.

Facts are calculated for Serie A

• Atalanta has won the last 3 matches in a row;
• Atalanta unbeaten the last 11 matches in a row;
• Atalanta has won the last 7 matches in a row at home;
• Atalanta unbeaten in the last 8 matches in a row at home.

• AC Milan unbeaten in the last 4 matches in a row;
• AC Milan has won in the last 6 of 7 matches when playing away;
• Total goals was OVER 2.5 in AC Milan’s last 6 of 8 matches;
• AC Milan has scored in the last 8 of 10 matches.

According to the bookmakers, Atalanta are favorites to win. A bet on a home win will get you odds 2.30, meaning the bookies predict the hosts have the edge. If you want to bet your money on an away win, however, the best odds are at 2.70.